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Dave Anderson On Sending Mike Napoli

Per Anthony Andro:

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The only thing that made it possible was he was going on the pitch. As soon as he went on the pitch and the ball is hit, you're taking a chance. It's two outs and if they make two good throws we're out. You're hoping for one of three things to happen: the guy miss the ball in the outfield, a bad throw to the cutoff man and a bad throw to home plate. They made good throws. We were just fortunate. He made a nice slide there and he was safe. More than anything else is you're taking a chance.

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I really don't know if I agree. Off the top of my head, it seems to risky, and Anderson hasn't exactly been above mistake in the past. That said, it's also plausible. It comes down to whether it's more likely than Napoli will be safe than it is Andres Blanco avoids an out (for his career, het gets out just under 70% of the time). If the Royals make the perfect throws they did, Napoli's out more than 30% of the time, but it's no guarantee the Royals always make those throws.

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I don't think anyone can say Anderson's definitely right or wrong. No one's crunching those numbers (prove me wrong, I dare you), Anderson doesn't have time to crunch numbers, and there's an argument both ways. As it was, the Royals played things perfectly, but the Rangers still lucked out. Let's all be happy!

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Photographs by jamesbrandon, jdtornow, phlezk, flygraphix, mcdlttx, tomasland, and literalbarrage used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.