Okay. One last day in the March Madness portion of the 2011 NCAA Tournament. Eight games. Three one seeds. Three shots at a double-digit seed joining Richmond in the Sweet 16. 11 seeds are 9-21 all-time against three seeds, and 10 seeds are 16-23 all-time against two seeds. If those rates hold up today, one of them should get in.
By the way, if you want some trivia, seven seeds beat twos 29% of the time, ones lose to eights 20% of the time and nines 7%*, and fives beat fours 49% of the time. If you want more, you can use the scholarly source Wikipedia.
*Someone please explain this disparity to me.
Texas is the fourth game of the day, if that's just what you're tuning in for. If you intend to watch everything, here's your quick guide to everything. Stats, key players, staff picks, projections, and odds can be found after the jump. Stats courtesy of KenPom.com and odds courtesy of BetVega.com. KenPom updates through the tournament, so the stats include games through Friday.
|
11:15 |
(2) North Carolina |
(7) Washington |
|
LINE |
-172 |
+158 |
|
PACE |
72.0 Pos/G |
71.2 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
13 (41/7) |
18 (9/48) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
40 Harrison Barnes (28.7% Shots) |
2 Isiah Thomas (32.3 Asst Rate) (13.3 TO Rate) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
44 Tyler Zeller (11.9 TO Rate) 31 John Henson (11.7 Block%) 2 Leslie McDonald (53 eFG%) (13.7 Def Reb%) |
23 C.J. Wilcox (56.8 eFG%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
64% |
36% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
81 |
77 |
FanMatch: Best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: UNC
Fittz: UNC
Griffin: UNC
Perryman: UNC
Starkey: UNC
London: Washington
Ponting: Washington
|
1:45 |
(1) Duke |
(8) Michigan |
|
LINE |
-809 |
+616 |
|
PACE |
69.4 Pos/G |
62.9 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
2 (4/2) |
26 (37/31) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
2 Nolan Smith (31.1 Asst Rate) (69.6 True Shooting%) |
4 Darius Morris (44.7 Asst Rate) 10 Tim Hardaway (11.4 TO Rate) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
12 Kyle Singler (13.1 TO Rate) |
25 Jordan Morgan (61.7 eFG%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
87% |
13% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
73 |
61 |
FanMatch: Sixth best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Duke
|
4:15 |
(1) Ohio State |
(8) George Mason |
|
LINE |
-786 |
+602 |
|
PACE |
65.2 Pos/G |
65.6 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
1 (1/8) |
25 (30/38) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
0 Jared Sullinger (26.5 Def Reb%) 1 Deshaun Thomas (52.0 eFG%) |
|
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
23 David Lighty (3.0 Steal%) |
20 Cam Long (1.9 Fouls/40) 24 Ryan Pearson (62.0 FT Rate) 14 Luke Hancock (29.3 Asst Rate) 11 Vertrail Vaughns (65.2 eFG%) 3 Bryon Allen (21.6 Asst Rate) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
90% |
10% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
75 |
62 |
FanMatch: Seventh best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Ohio State
Fittz: Ohio State
Griffin: Ohio State
Perryman: Ohio State
Ponting: Ohio State
London: Ohio StateStarkey: Villanova
|
5:10 |
(4) Texas |
(5) Arizona |
|
LINE |
-249 |
+221 |
|
PACE |
66.9 Pos/G |
66.4 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
6 (21/5) |
33 (19/74) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
3 Jordan Hamilton (2.1 Fouls/40) 13 Tristan Thompson (85.2 FT Rate) |
23 Derrick Williams (66.9 eFG%) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
1 Gary Johnson (14.2 TO rate) 14 J’Covan Brown (55.3 True Shooting%) |
12 (2.7 Fouls/40) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
76% |
24% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
73 |
66 |
FanMatch: Fourth best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Texas
Fittz: Texas
Griffin: Texas
Starkey: Texas
London: Arizona
Ponting: ArizonaPerryman: Oakland
|
6:10 |
(3) Purdue |
(11) Virgina Commonwealth |
|
LINE |
-485 |
+415 |
|
PACE |
67.1 Pos/G |
66.2 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
4 (18/3) |
68 (53/109) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
25 JaJuan Johnson (10.5 TO Rate) 33 E’Twaun Moore (10.8 TO Rate) |
|
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
32 John Hart (50.0 True Shooting%) |
12 Joey Rodriguez (28.5 Asst Rate) 21 Jamie Skeen (61.7 True Shooting%) 32 Brandon Rozzell (9.9 TO Rate) 23 Rob Brandenberg (52.1 eFG%) 5 Juvonte Reddic (2.9 Steal%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
91% |
9% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
76 |
62 |
FanMatch: Worst game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Fittz: Purdue
Griffin: Purdue
London: Purdue
Ponting: Purdue
Starkey: PurdueCode: Georgetown
Perryman: Georgetown
|
6:45 |
(3) Syracuse |
(11) Marquette |
|
LINE |
-205 |
+180 |
|
PACE |
66.6 Pos/G |
67.5 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
11 (16/16) |
28 (22/62) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
11 Scoop Jardine (34.3 Asst Rate) |
(28.9% Shots) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
32 Kris Joseph (2.9 Steal%) (109.3 Offensive Rating) (106.2 Offensive Rating) |
33 Jimmy Butler (65.0 FT Rate) (68.4 FT Rate) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
68% |
32% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
73 |
69 |
FanMatch: Third best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Syracuse
Fittz: Syracuse
Griffin: Syracuse
Perryman: Syracuse
Ponting: Syracuse
Starkey: Syracuse
London: Marquette
|
7:40 |
(1) Kansas |
(9) Illinois |
|
LINE |
-437 |
+373 |
|
PACE |
69.4 Pos/G |
66.5 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
3 (5/12) |
16 (28/19) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
22 Marcus Morris (62.2 eFG%) (25.6 Def Reb%) 32 Josh Selby (18.4 Asst Rate) (108.8 Offensive Rating) |
(35.8 Asst Rate) 3 Brandon Paul (2.9 Steal%) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
(26.7 Asst Rate) |
54 Mike Tisdale (6.8 Block%) (9.9 Off Reb%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
70% |
30% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
74 |
69 |
FanMatch: Second best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Kansas
|
8:40 |
(2) Notre Dame |
(10) Florida State |
|
LINE |
-224 |
+196 |
|
PACE |
64.6 Pos/G |
68.7 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
10 (3/56) |
36 (149/1) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
(64.0 True Shooting%) |
(10.7 Off Reb%) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
21 Tim Abromaitis (55.9 eFG%) 1 Tyrone Nash (98.4 FT Rate) |
31 Chris Singleton (4.0 Steal%) 10 Okaro White (10.3 Off Reb%) 1 Xavier Gibson (6.3 Block%) 30 Ian Miller (12.1 Asst Rate) 50 Jon Kreft (19.1 Def Reb%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
78% |
22% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
70 |
63 |
FanMatch: Fifth best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Notre Dame
Griffin: Notre Dame
London: Notre Dame
Perryman: Notre Dame
Ponting: Notre Dame
Starkey: FSUFittz: Texas A&M