More Gus Johnson!
Texas survived a scare, Michigan won by 30 without a free throw, Florida State shot down A&M's offense, George Mason and Villanova went down to the wire, and Arizona rejected Memphis at the end of vicious 86 possession game to avoid the upset.
FSU's win was actually the first upset (by seed) of the day, a mere 10/7, and the one seeds won in predictably dominant fashion, but there were some good games in there. The FSU/A&M game, in particular, was much more fun to watch the whole way than the last two minutes and final score suggest.
We have just the last fourth of the first round of the 2011 NCAA Tournament left to go. Here is your quick reference to each of the late games, with stats, key players, odds, forecasts, and picks. Stats courtesy of KenPom.com and odds courtesy of BetVega.com.
|
5:50 |
(1) Kansas |
(16) Boston University |
|
LINE |
Off |
Off |
|
PACE |
69.6 Pos/G |
64.0 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
3 (4/13) |
170 (170/184) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
22 Marcus Morris (124.2 O Rtg) 21 Markieff Morris (25.6 D Reb%) 32 Josh Selby (18.4 Asst Rate) 0 Thomas Robinson (60.4 eFG%) |
23 John Holland (34.1% Shots) 1 Darryl Partin (28.3% Shots) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
10 Tyshawn Taylor (26.7 Asst Rate) |
21 Jake O’Brien (51.8 eFG%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
97% |
3% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
81 |
60 |
FanMatch: 14th best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Kansas
|
7:15 |
(2) North Carolina |
(15) Long Island |
|
LINE |
Off |
Off |
|
PACE |
71.3 |
73.9 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
13 (39/6) |
121 (78/204) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
40 Harrison Barnes (28.7% Shots) |
1 Jamal Olasewere (7.9 Fouls Drawn/40) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
44 Tyler Zeller (11.9 TO Rate) 31 John Henson (11.7 Block%) 2 Leslie McDonald (53.0 eFG%) 35 Reggie Bullock (13.7 D Reb%) |
42 Julian Boyd (13.0 Off Reb%) 12 C.J. Garner (56.6 FT Rate) 32 Kenny Onyechi (7.7 Fouls Drawn/40) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
93% |
7% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
92 |
73 |
FanMatch: 11th best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
North Carolina
|
7:20 |
(3) Purdue |
(14) St. Peter’s |
|
LINE |
-1600 |
+900 |
|
PACE |
67.1 Pos/G |
65.8 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
7 (19/7) |
115 (275/19) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
25 JaJuan Johnson (10.5 TO Rate) 33 E’Twaun Moore (10.8 TO Rate) |
5 Jeron Belin (6.4 Fouls Drawn/40) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
32 John Hart (Out of Work GM) |
22 Nick Leon (2.5 Fouls/40) 4 Ryan Bacon (14.9 Off Reb%) 15 Wesley Jenkins (2.2 Fouls/40) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
95% |
5% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
69 |
54 |
FanMatch: 13th best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Purdue
|
7:27 |
(6) Xavier |
(11) Marquette |
|
LINE |
-140 |
+120 |
|
PACE |
66.1 Pos/G |
67.7 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
35 (30/58) |
31 (20/67) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
52 Tu Holloway (6.7 Fouls Drawn/40) |
1 Darius Johnson-Odom (28.9% Shots) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
10 Mark Lyons (87.1% Min) 22 Jamel McLean (15.2 Off Reb%) 32 Kenny Frease (21.9 Def Reb%) |
33 Jimmy Butler (1.6 Fouls/40) 54 Davante Gardner (57.0 eFG%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
47% |
53% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
72 |
73 |
FanMatch: Third best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Marquette
London: Marquette
Perryman: Marquette
Ponting: Marquette
Fittz: Xavier
Griffin: Xavier
Starkey: Xavier
|
8:20 |
(8) UNLV |
(9) Illinois |
|
LINE |
-140 |
+120 |
|
PACE |
68.0 Pos/G |
66.7 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
24 (57/17) |
21 (34/21) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
33 Tre’Von Willis (124 Steal%) 1 Quintrell Thomas (52.8 eFG%) |
32 Demetri McCamey (35.8 Asst Rate) 3 Brandon Paul (2.9 Steal%) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
22 Chace Stanback (13.6 TO Rate) 3 Anthony Marshall (22.7 Asst Rate) 11 Carlos Lopez (53.4 eFG%) |
54 Mike Tisdale (6.8 Block%) 22 Jereme Richmond (9.9 O Reb%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
47% |
53% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
67 |
68 |
FanMatch: Best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Illinois
Griffin: Illinois
London: Illinois
Perryman: Illinois
Ponting: Illinois
Starkey: Illinois
Fittz: UNLV
|
8:45 |
(7) Washington |
(10) Georgia |
|
LINE |
-220 |
+180 |
|
PACE |
71.6 Pos/G |
64.8 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
17 (9/47) |
56 (77/41) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
2 Isiah Thomas (32.3 Asst Rate) (55.1 eFG%) |
33 Trey Thompkins (5.9 Block%) 22 Gerald Robinson (27.5 Asst Rate) 1 Travis Leslie (12.2 Off Reb%) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
23 C.J. Wilcox (56.8 eFG%) |
50 Jeremy Price (3.6 Block%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
72% |
28% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
75 |
69 |
FanMatch:Sixth best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Washington
Fittz: Washington
Griffin: Washington
London: Washington
Ponting: Washington
Starkey: Washington
Perryman: Georgia
|
8:50 |
(6) Georgetown |
(11) Virginia Commonwealth |
|
LINE |
-240 |
+200 |
|
PACE |
64.9 Pos/G |
66.3 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
30 (28/50) |
77 (60/121) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
15 Austin Freeman (55.9 eFG%) 4 Chris Wright (32.4 Asst Rate) |
|
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
21 Jason Clark (57.4 eFG%) 22 Julian Vaughn (12.8 Off Reb%) |
12 Joey Rodriguez (28.5 Asst Rate) 21 Jamie Skeen (66.0 FT Rate) 32 Brandon Rozzell (9.9 TO Rate) 23 Rob Brandenberg (3.2 Steal%) 5 Juvonte Reddic (12.2 Def Reb%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
74% |
26% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
72 |
66 |
FanMatch: 7th best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Georgetown
Fittz: Georgetown
Griffin: Georgetown
Perryman: Georgetown
Starkey: Georgetown
London: VCU
Ponting: VCU
|
8:57 |
(3) Syracuse |
(14) Indiana State |
|
LINE |
-1000 |
+700 |
|
PACE |
66.6 Pos/G |
66.4 Pos/G |
|
KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF) |
11 (18/16) |
101 (171/61) |
|
MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS |
11 Scoop Jardine (34.3 Asst Rate) |
(61. Fouls Drawn/40) |
|
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS |
32 Kris Joseph (2.9 Steal%) 20 Brandon Triche (2.6 Fouls/40) 3 Dion Waiters (4.3 Steal%) |
15 Carl Richard (9.8 Off Reb%) 32 Aaron Carter (103.7 Off Rating) 44 Jake Kelly (24.1 Asst Rate) 31 R.J. Mahurin (54.5 eFG%) |
|
KenPom Chance of Win |
90% |
10% |
|
KenPom Predicted Score |
72 |
60 |
FanMatch: 10th best game of the day.
SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Syracuse