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March Madness Day 1 Late Guide

Four seeds are 83-23 all-time against 13 seeds. Six seeds are 71-33 against 11 seeds.

And yet, five seeds are now 70-36 all time against 12 seeds. For whatever reason, they fair ever-so-slightly worse than six seeds, and much worse than four seeds. I don't know if anyone understands why, but everyone knows it is.

Richmond just became the 36th by upsetting Vanderbilt. With Morehead State knocking of Louisville to become the 23rd thirtween seed to win, that gives us an awesome 12 vs. 13 match-up on Saturday.

So, we are now one fourth of the way through the 2011 NCAA Tournament. Other than those two upsets, contained to the same 16th of the bracket, we haven't had any real upset damage. But, nearly every game has been great down to the finish. Off to a good start.

Here's your quick guide to the late games, with stats, start times, names you should know, odds, and staff picks for every evening game Tournament. Once again, stats courtesy of KenPom.com and odds courtesy of BetVega.com.

If you haven't read already, by the way, you can see the full brackets and Final Four commentary here.

5:50

(2) Florida

(15) UC Santa Barbara

LINE

-901

+674

PACE

63.9 Pos/G

65.4 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

19 (15/37)

129 (155/118)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

32 Vernan Macklin (11.3 O Reb%)

33 Orlando Johnson (34.8% Shots)

21 James Nunnally (55.3 eFG%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

25 Chandler Parsons (19.5 D Reb%)

1 Kenny Boynton (1.6 Fouls/40)

11 Erving Walker (1.9 Fouls/40)

23 Alex Tyus (10 O Reb%)

0 Jaime Serna (6.1 Block%)

55 Greg Somogyi (16.6 Def Reb%)

KenPom Chance of Win

92%

8%

KenPom Predicted Score

72

58

Fan Match: 15th best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Florida

6:15

(3) BYU

(14) Wofford

LINE

-417

+358

PACE

71.1 Pos/G

64.5 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

14 (8/38)

84 (42/192)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

32 Jimmer Fredette (36.1% Poss)

42 Noah Dahlman (131.4 ORtg)

50 Terry Martin (37% Min)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

0 Brandon Davies (5.6 Fouls Drawn/40)

41 Chris Collinsworth (Not an NFL wide receiver.)

1 Cameron Rundles (13.4 TO Rate)

5 Jamar Diggs (3.4 Steal%)

KenPom Chance of Win

86%

14%

KenPom Predicted Score

82

71

Fan Match: Tenth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Code: BYU
Fittz: BYU
Griffin: BYU
London: BYU
Perryman: BYU
Ponting: BYU
Starkey: Wofford

6:20

(3) Connecticut

(14) Bucknell

LINE

-578

+472

PACE

66.3 Pos/G

66.3 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

16 (20/31)

91 (135/65)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

15 Kemba Walker (30.9% Poss)

31 Mike Muscala (8.4 Block%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

13 Shabazz Napier

14 Joe Willman (17.4 Def Reb%)

21 G.W. Boon (11.0 TO Rate)

KenPom Chance of Win

85%

15%

KenPom Predicted Score

72

62

FanMatch:11th best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
UConn

6:27

(4) Wisconsin

(13) Belmont

LINE

-186

+169

PACE

57.6 Pos/G

69.1 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

9 (2/64)

17 (112.8/90.5)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

30 Jon Leuer (32.2% Shots)

11 Jordan Taylor (8.1 TO Rate)

3 Kerron Johnson (Nations Best Steal%)

23 Scott Saunders (7.9 Fouls Drawn/40)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

5 Ryan Evans (20.6 Def Reb%)

40 Jared Berggren (54.1 eFG%)

21 Ian Clark (60.9 eFG%)

34 Mick Hedgepeth (12.9 O Reb%)

14 J.J. Mann (49.0 eFG%)

2 Blake Jenkins (49.5 eFG%)

KenPom Chance of Win

61%

49%

KenPom Predicted Score

66

63

FanMatch: Best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Code: Wisconsin
Griffin: Wisconsin
Perryman: Wisconsin
Ponting: Wisconsin
Starkey: Wisconsin
Fittz: Belmont
London: Belmont

8:20

(7) UCLA

(10) Michigan State

LINE

+103

-117

PACE

66.2 Pos/G

65.8

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

55 (90/33)

42 (63/32)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

34 Joshua Smith (20.0 Off Reb%)

1 Kalin Lucas (29.1% Shots)

23 Draymond Green (23.6 Def Reb%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

23 Tyler Honeycutt (1.9 Fouls/40)

22 Reeves nelson (22.9 Def Reb%)

11 Lazeric Jones (25.3 Asst Rate)

15 Durrell Summers (14.4 TO Rate)

34 Korie Lucious (33.3 Asst Rate)

25 Derrick Nix (6.0 Fouls Drawn/40)

KenPom Chance of Win

43%

57%

KenPom Predicted Score

65

63

FanMatch: Eighth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Fittz: Mich St
Griffin: Mich St
London: Mich St
Perryman: Mich St
Starkey: Mich St
Code: UCLA
Ponting: UCLA

8:45

(6) Saint John’s

(11) Gonzaga

LINE

Pick

Pick

PACE

67.2 Pos/G

67.6 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

35 (47/35)

28 (49/28)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

12 Dwight Hardy (84.8% Min)

0 Robert Sacre (71.1% FT Rate)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

32 Justin Brownlee (3.6 Block%)

41 Steven Gray (3.1 Steal%)

20 Elias Harris (53.6 eFG%)

35 Sam Dower (57.8 eFG%)

13 Kelly Olynik (61.8 eFG%)

KenPom Chance of Win

48%

52%

KenPom Predicted Score

68

69

FanMatch: Fourth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Code: St. John's
Perryman: St. John's
Ponting: St. John's
Starkey: St. John's
Fittz: Gonzaga
Griffin: Gonzaga
London: Gonzaga

8:50

(6) Cincinnati

(11) Missouri

LINE

Pick

Pick

PACE

64.2 Pos/G

72.2 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

23 (53/16)

36 (30/54)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

23 Sean Kilpatrick (26.7% Shots)

11 Michael Dixon (4.3 Steal%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

3 Dion Dixon (2.0 Fouls/40)

34 Yancy Gates (21.0 Def Reb%)

1 Cashmere Wright (30.8 Assist Rate)

12 Marcus Denmon (8.4 TO Rate)

24 Kim English (2.7 Steal%)

21 Laurence Bowers (7.7 Block%)

23 Justin Safford (17.2 Def Reb%)

KenPom Chance of Win

58%

42%

KenPom Predicted Score

71

69

FanMatch: Third best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Code: Missouri
Ponting: Missouri
Starkey: Missouri
London: Missouri
Fittz: Cincinnati
Griffin: Cincinnati
Perryman: Cincinnati

8:57

(5) Kansas State

(12) Utah State

LINE

-137

+123

PACE

68.0 Pos/G

63.7 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

31 (55/27)

18 (57/8)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

0 Jacob Pullen (6.8 Fouls Drawn/40)

24 Curtis Kelly (6.0 Block%)

33 Wally Judge (6.4 Fouls Drawn/40)

42 Tai Wesley (64.2 True Shoot%)

3 Brockeith Pane (59.7 FT Rate)

 

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

32 Jamar Samuels (10.7 O Reb%)

12 Nick Russell (18.8 Asst Rate)

21 Morgan Grim (53.8 FT Rate)

KenPom Chance of Win

39%

61%

KenPom Predicted Score

62

64

FanMatch: Fifth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Picks
Code: Utah State
Fittz: Utah State
Griffin: Utah State
London: Utah State
Perryman: Kansas State
Ponting: Kansas State
Starkey: Kansas State

Photographs by jamesbrandon, jdtornow, phlezk, flygraphix, mcdlttx, tomasland, and literalbarrage used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.