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Which 2011 One Seed Exits March Madness First?

More March Madness polls!!!

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Predictions are hard, and chalk is a deceptively good strategy, but if there's one thing we (kind of) know about the Men's Basketball Tournament, it's that somewhere before the semi-finals, a one seed will fall. 2008 was the first, and only, time no one seeds made it to the Final Four.

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We also (sort of) know that a one seed or two will make it there. 2006 and 1980 are the only times no one seed has ever made it to the third week of play. Last year, we had only one, but Duke still managed to keep the one seed cause alive.

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This year, though, we've got some parity. The difference between the best team and the 20th best team in the Pomeroy rankings only comes out to around one win per 30 games, and there's not a steep drop off from there. On paper, this tournament looks a lot more likely to be 2006 than 2008, with none of the No. 1s being particularly dominant, and a lot of low seeds being dangerous. If your bracket has all one seeds in the Final Four, that doesn't make you an idiot, because you don't know where the upsets are going to happen, just know having that work out for you is probably going to be harder than usual.

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With one seeds ripe for the picking, then, who is going to go down first, and when? Bonus points for telling us in the comments how they're getting knocked off and by what lower seeded school.

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Photographs by jamesbrandon, jdtornow, phlezk, flygraphix, mcdlttx, tomasland, and literalbarrage used in background montage under Creative Commons. Thank you.