If you had guessed the line before Baylor's game against Louisiana-Monroe before the season started, it would probably have been at least two or three scores.
But after the WarHawks stunned Arkansas and took Auburn to OT on the road in the last two weeks, the feisty Sun Belt team is only a +7.5 underdog.
Baylor, meanwhile, really hasn't been tested much in 2012. The Bears drubbed an overmatched SMU team, 59-24, and beat Sam Houston State, an FCS team, 48-23, with both games in Waco.
Now, before they begin a murderer's row in Big 12 play, they have to travel to a Sun Belt stadium to face what should be a rowdy home crowd in what was clearly a huge mistake in scheduling.
Nevertheless, despite their success against the SEC, there's no guarantee Louisiana-Monroe can stay with a Baylor program on the upswing. Arkansas followed up its loss to the WarHawks with a 52-0 home loss to Alabama, while Auburn's Gene Chizik is already on the hot seat after a 1-2 start to 2012.
The game is expected to be extremely high-scoring, as the over/under is 68.5.