I'm Going To Call These Two Locks

UNLV (-5.5) over Colorado

If the Cal game is any indication, the Pac-12 deserved zero bids. Embarrassing. UNLV is a serious outfit as well. This would shock me if Colorado covered.

Murray State (-5.5) vs. Colorado State

Murray State has a strong backcourt, and Colorado State is a 22-10 team from a smaller conference. They notched wins against UNLV and New Mexico but nothing stands out as far as their out of conference efforts.

Things That Are More Of A Risk

Montana (+9) against Wisconsin

Wisconsin is a solid team, but their talent level isn't remarkably high. They'll win, but this is the largest spread outside of the 1-16 and 2-15 match ups.

Kansas State (-5.5) against Southern Miss

Kansas State is long, defends and rebounds. They are a different level of athlete, and this could get ugly. Or it could be close, with free throws covering the margin.