March Madness Day Four Guide

Okay. One last day in the March Madness portion of the 2011 NCAA Tournament. Eight games. Three one seeds. Three shots at a double-digit seed joining Richmond in the Sweet 16. 11 seeds are 9-21 all-time against three seeds, and 10 seeds are 16-23 all-time against two seeds. If those rates hold up today, one of them should get in.

By the way, if you want some trivia, seven seeds beat twos 29% of the time, ones lose to eights 20% of the time and nines 7%*, and fives beat fours 49% of the time. If you want more, you can use the scholarly source Wikipedia.

*Someone please explain this disparity to me.

Texas is the fourth game of the day, if that's just what you're tuning in for. If you intend to watch everything, here's your quick guide to everything. Stats, key players, staff picks, projections, and odds can be found after the jump. Stats courtesy of KenPom.com and odds courtesy of BetVega.com. KenPom updates through the tournament, so the stats include games through Friday.

11:15

(2) North Carolina

(7) Washington

LINE

-172

+158

PACE

72.0 Pos/G

71.2 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

13 (41/7)

18 (9/48)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

40 Harrison Barnes (28.7% Shots)

2 Isiah Thomas (32.3 Asst Rate)

11 Matthew Bryan-Amaning

(13.3 TO Rate)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

44 Tyler Zeller (11.9 TO Rate)

31 John Henson (11.7 Block%)

2 Leslie McDonald (53 eFG%)

35 Reggie Bullock

(13.7 Def Reb%)

23 C.J. Wilcox (56.8 eFG%)

KenPom Chance of Win

64%

36%

KenPom Predicted Score

81

77

FanMatch: Best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: UNC
Fittz: UNC
Griffin: UNC
Perryman: UNC
Starkey: UNC
London: Washington
Ponting: Washington

1:45

(1) Duke

(8) Michigan

LINE

-809

+616

PACE

69.4 Pos/G

62.9 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

2 (4/2)

26 (37/31)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

2 Nolan Smith (31.1 Asst Rate)

1 Kyrie Irving

(69.6 True Shooting%)

4 Darius Morris (44.7 Asst Rate)

10 Tim Hardaway (11.4 TO Rate)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

12 Kyle Singler (13.1 TO Rate)

25 Jordan Morgan (61.7 eFG%)

KenPom Chance of Win

87%

13%

KenPom Predicted Score

73

61

FanMatch: Sixth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Duke

4:15

(1) Ohio State

(8) George Mason

LINE

-786

+602

PACE

65.2 Pos/G

65.6 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

1 (1/8)

25 (30/38)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

0 Jared Sullinger (26.5 Def Reb%)

1 Deshaun Thomas (52.0 eFG%)

 

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

23 David Lighty (3.0 Steal%)

20 Cam Long (1.9 Fouls/40)

24 Ryan Pearson (62.0 FT Rate)

14 Luke Hancock (29.3 Asst Rate)

11 Vertrail Vaughns (65.2 eFG%)

3 Bryon Allen (21.6 Asst Rate)

KenPom Chance of Win

90%

10%

KenPom Predicted Score

75

62

FanMatch: Seventh best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Ohio State
Fittz: Ohio State
Griffin: Ohio State
Perryman: Ohio State
Ponting: Ohio State
London: Ohio State
Starkey: Villanova

5:10

(4) Texas

(5) Arizona

LINE

-249

+221

PACE

66.9 Pos/G

66.4 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

6 (21/5)

33 (19/74)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

3 Jordan Hamilton (2.1 Fouls/40)

13 Tristan Thompson

(85.2 FT Rate)

23 Derrick Williams (66.9 eFG%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

1 Gary Johnson (14.2 TO rate)

14 J’Covan Brown

(55.3 True Shooting%)

12 (2.7 Fouls/40)

KenPom Chance of Win

76%

24%

KenPom Predicted Score

73

66

FanMatch: Fourth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Texas
Fittz: Texas
Griffin: Texas
Starkey: Texas
London: Arizona
Ponting: Arizona
Perryman: Oakland

6:10

(3) Purdue

(11) Virgina Commonwealth

LINE

-485

+415

PACE

67.1 Pos/G

66.2 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

4 (18/3)

68 (53/109)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

25 JaJuan Johnson (10.5 TO Rate)

33 E’Twaun Moore (10.8 TO Rate)

 

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

32 John Hart

(50.0 True Shooting%)

12 Joey Rodriguez (28.5 Asst Rate)

21 Jamie Skeen

(61.7 True Shooting%)

32 Brandon Rozzell (9.9 TO Rate)

23 Rob Brandenberg (52.1 eFG%)

5 Juvonte Reddic (2.9 Steal%)

KenPom Chance of Win

91%

9%

KenPom Predicted Score

76

62

FanMatch: Worst game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Fittz: Purdue
Griffin: Purdue
London: Purdue
Ponting: Purdue
Starkey: Purdue
Code: Georgetown
Perryman: Georgetown

6:45

(3) Syracuse

(11) Marquette

LINE

-205

+180

PACE

66.6 Pos/G

67.5 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

11 (16/16)

28 (22/62)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

11 Scoop Jardine (34.3 Asst Rate)

1 Darius Johnson-Odom

(28.9% Shots)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

32 Kris Joseph (2.9 Steal%)

20 Brandon Triche

(109.3 Offensive Rating)

3 Dion Waiters

(106.2 Offensive Rating)

33 Jimmy Butler (65.0 FT Rate)

54 Davante Gardner

(68.4 FT Rate)

KenPom Chance of Win

68%

32%

KenPom Predicted Score

73

69

FanMatch: Third best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Syracuse
Fittz: Syracuse
Griffin: Syracuse
Perryman: Syracuse
Ponting: Syracuse
Starkey: Syracuse
London: Marquette

7:40

(1) Kansas

(9) Illinois

LINE

-437

+373

PACE

69.4 Pos/G

66.5 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

3 (5/12)

16 (28/19)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

22 Marcus Morris (62.2 eFG%)

21 Markieff Morris

(25.6 Def Reb%)

32 Josh Selby (18.4 Asst Rate)

0 Thomas Robinson

(108.8 Offensive Rating)

32 Demetri McCamey

(35.8 Asst Rate)

3 Brandon Paul (2.9 Steal%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

10 Tyshawn Taylor

(26.7 Asst Rate)

54 Mike Tisdale (6.8 Block%)

22 Jereme Richmond

(9.9 Off Reb%)

KenPom Chance of Win

70%

30%

KenPom Predicted Score

74

69

FanMatch: Second best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Kansas

8:40

(2) Notre Dame

(10) Florida State

LINE

-224

+196

PACE

64.6 Pos/G

68.7 Pos/G

KENPOM RANK (OFF/DEF)

10 (3/56)

36 (149/1)

MAJOR CONTRIBUTORS

23 Ben Hansbrough

(64.0 True Shooting%)

15 Terrance Shannon

(10.7 Off Reb%)

SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTORS

21 Tim Abromaitis (55.9 eFG%)

1 Tyrone Nash (98.4 FT Rate)

31 Chris Singleton (4.0 Steal%)

10 Okaro White (10.3 Off Reb%)

1 Xavier Gibson (6.3 Block%)

30 Ian Miller (12.1 Asst Rate)

50 Jon Kreft (19.1 Def Reb%)

KenPom Chance of Win

78%

22%

KenPom Predicted Score

70

63

FanMatch: Fifth best game of the day.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth Staff Picks
Code: Notre Dame
Griffin: Notre Dame
London: Notre Dame
Perryman: Notre Dame
Ponting: Notre Dame
Starkey: FSU
Fittz: Texas A&M

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