Jim Cowsert-US PRESSWIRE
The Knights are 2-4 against the spread in its last six games, while the Mustangs are 2-5 against the spread in its last seven games on the road.
After the line opened at 10 points in favor of the Knights, it has since swelled to 12.5 points as the bettors aren't giving the Mustangs much of a chance on the road in Orlando, Florida. They do expect a fair amount of scoring, though, as the over/under for the game is set at 51.
Each team is averaging over 30 points offensively, however the SMU defense has allowed an average of 26.6 points while the UCF defense has allowed 21.4. While the averages would likely sway one to take the over, the under has been the better bet for the two teams in recent games.
The under has been the winner in five of the last seven road games for the Mustangs, and the winner in nine of UCF's last 12 home games.