For the last two weeks, I've gone 21-6 overall picking straight up. Against the spread, well, that's another story.
Give me Matt Ryan and the Falcons to win, and cover.
Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Baltimore Ravens -- Tough game, really. Baltimore's defense isn't as good as it has been in recent memory, and the Cowboys are coming off of a bye week.
It all comes down to Ray Rice and if the Cowboys can contain him. I just don't know that they can. I'll take the Ravens to win and cover -- but I won't be shocked if the Cowboys can pull off the upset.
Still, it's a rivalry game (right?), and the Browns have to snap their skid sometime. Trent Richardson goes off, Browns pull off the upset.
On the other hand, the Rams have looked pretty OK too, though Danny Amendola is out for awhile.
I'll take the Rams to pull off the upset, just because I don't think Miami is very good.
Indianapolis Colts (+3) at New York Jets -- Another tough game. Things can't really get much worse for the Jets, can they? New York did play well last week in a losing effort against the Texans on Monday Night Football, but moral victories don't count for much in the NFL.
Still, I'll take the Jets to win and cover against the Colts.
Detroit Lions (+3.5) at Philadelphia Eagles -- Color me unimpressed with the Eagles. I thought they might be one of the NFL's elite teams this year coming into the season, but so far, I thought wrong.
Michael Vick has to get over his turnover woes. I don't think it happens on Sunday. Lions pull off the upset.
Jamaal Charles will need to have a game and a half on Sunday -- and he will. It just won't be enough, as the Buccaneers win, and cover.
Buffalo Bills (+4) at Arizona Cardinals -- I might be missing something here. I don't really understand why the Bills are only four point underdogs. I mean, I understand Arizona doesn't have much of an offense, but Buffalo has been awful lately.
Give me the Cardinals to win, and cover.
Tom Brady has a nice day, and the Patriots win -- and cover.
I don't think Alex Smith is capable of leading San Francisco to a blowout win, but he is capable of leading the Niners to a win. San Francisco wins, but New York covers.
Minnesota Vikings (even) at Washington Redskins -- Another tough game. A lot depends on Robert Griffin III, but it looks like he's playing. The Vikings have been excellent so far, but they just lack the it factor for me at this point.
I'll take the Redskins.
I don't really think the Packers are that great, but I don't think the Texans are that great, either. I'll take the Packers in the upset win.
Manning does nothing for me, but Philip Rivers does even less. I'll take the Broncos to rebound after a tough loss in Foxboro and win. Rivers cries.